Dividend Forecasts
Every future dividend for 54,000+ listings: the dates, the amount and the chance it is raised, held, cut or omitted.
A dividend is known for certain only once it is declared. Until then, the ORTEX forecast gives every expected payment for over 54,000 listings of 32,000 companies in 88 markets: declaration, ex, record and pay dates with a confidence band, a low, central and high amount, and the probability of a raise, hold, cut, omission or special. It is refreshed every business day.
At a glance
- 54,000+ listings forecast in 88 markets
- 32,000+ companies covered
- 150,000+ dividends with an ex-date in the next 12 months
- Daily refreshed every business day
88 markets covered, across over 54,000 listings of 32,000 companies. Listings include depositary lines, funds and preferreds.
ORTEX dividend forecast, November 2026.
What you can do with it
- Quant research. Cut and omission probabilities on every expected payment, with forecast history.
- Income trading. Ex-dates and amounts weeks before they are declared.
- Index and futures desks. Dividend points for five indices by futures year, and by expiry for the Hang Seng Index.
Every dividend, before it is declared
Dates, amounts and outcome probabilities for every expected payment, not just the next one.
- Dates ahead of declaration. Declaration, ex, record and pay dates for every expected payment, each with a plus or minus business-day band and a confidence score.
- Amount range. A low, central and high amount (P10, P50, P90) in the payment currency, beside the last comparable payment and the change against it.
- Outcome probabilities. The chance of a raise, hold, cut, omission or special dividend on every event, and the most likely outcome.
- One dividend per company. A company's dividend is forecast once and applied to each listing, so dual-listed shares agree on the event and the amount. H-shares show CNY and the HKD equivalent.
- Index dividend points. Eight indices in the catalog, each with an implied dividend yield. Points paid, declared and still forecast for Eurozone Top 50, US 500, UK Top 100, Japan 225 and Hang Seng, by futures year. A per-expiry view covers the Hang Seng family, in points for the Hang Seng Index and as yield for HSCEI and HSTECH.
- Declarations as they land. Company declarations are matched to the forecast as they are announced, and each event shows whether the declared amount came in at, above or below it.
Facts
| Coverage | Over 54,000 listings of 32,000 companies in 88 markets |
| Horizon | Every expected payment; 150,000+ with an ex-date in the next 12 months |
| Refresh | Every business day from 13:45 UTC |
| History | Dividend record from 1970 |
| Indices | Eight; dividend points for five |
| Identifiers | Ticker and exchange, ISIN, FIGI, ORTEX ids |
| Delivery | Enterprise API, ORTEX platform |
Why ORTEX
One forecast for every dividend-paying listing, with a probability on every outcome, refreshed every business day.
Sample forecasts
The next undeclared dividend for eight large payers, from the ORTEX forecast of 4 November 2026.
Next undeclared dividend, forecast of 4 November 2026
| Stock | Event | Ex-date | Last | P10 | P50 | P90 | Raise | Hold | Cut or omit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Techtronic (Hong Kong) | Final FY2026 | 14 May 2027 ±1 | 1.32 | 0.92 | 1.37 | 1.86 | 89% | 5% | 7% |
| CLP (Hong Kong) | Q4 FY2026 | 11 Mar 2027 ±1 | 1.31 | 1.31 | 1.31 | 1.77 | 71% | 27% | 2% |
| Mizuho (Tokyo) | Final FY2027 (Mar) | 30 Mar 2027 | 72.5 | 75 | 75 | 112.5 | 95% | 2% | 3% |
| KDDI (Tokyo) | Final FY2027 (Mar) | 30 Mar 2027 | 40 | 42 | 42 | 51.69 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| ICICI Bank (NSE) | Final FY2027 (Mar) | 3 Aug 2027 ±7 | 12.00 | 9.58 | 12.84 | 17.43 | 93% | 4% | 3% |
| SBI (NSE) | Final FY2027 (Mar) | 21 May 2027 ±8 | 17.35 | 13.91 | 18.64 | 25.30 | 92% | 5% | 4% |
| Microsoft (Nasdaq) | Q1 2027 | 18 Feb 2027 | 0.98 | 0.98 | 0.98 | 0.98 | 5% | 95% | 0% |
| Johnson & Johnson (NYSE) | Q1 2027 | 23 Feb 2027 ±4 | 1.34 | 1.34 | 1.34 | 1.34 | 5% | 95% | 0% |
Amounts per share in the payment currency: Hong Kong dollars, yen, rupees and US dollars. The ex-date band is in business days. Chances are raise, hold, and cut or omission against the last comparable payment.
| Forecast | 4 November 2026 run |
| Also on every row | Declaration, record and pay dates, date confidence, the chance of a special and the most likely outcome |
| Once declared | Declared amount, time, and at, above or below the forecast |
Every outcome gets a probability, not just a single number: Techtronic's next dividend has a 7% chance of a cut or omission, KDDI's a 95% chance of a raise.
Documents and API
- Download the brochure (PDF)
- Methodology (PDF)
- Data dictionary (PDF)
- Dividend Forecasts on public.ortex.com
- The full ORTEX data catalog (PDF)
- Enterprise API reference: Forecast per stock, Forecast history, Whole market, Daily vintages, Declarations, Index points
- Guide: Dividend Forecasts Explained
Coverage, history and figures are as at November 2026. Provided for information purposes only; not investment advice, a personal recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not a guide to future results. ORTEX does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any data or forecast. Forecasts are estimates and dividends are set by each company. Trial access, pricing and licensing: [email protected].
Updated 1 day ago